Introduction to Forecasting: Difference between revisions
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* [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=e6Q7Ez3PkOw Intro to Forecasting (video series)]. A great series of videos introducing forecasting. |
* [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=e6Q7Ez3PkOw Intro to Forecasting (video series)]. A great series of videos introducing forecasting. |
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* [https://twitter.com/MichaelTrazzi/status/1380974774717976581 Tweet summary] of Intro to Forecasting. |
* [https://twitter.com/MichaelTrazzi/status/1380974774717976581 Tweet summary] of Intro to Forecasting. |
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* [https://forecasting.wiki/wiki/Introduction_to_Forecasting Prediction market terminology] (by Kalshi). |
* [https://forecasting.wiki/wiki/Introduction_to_Forecasting Prediction market terminology] (by [[Kalshi]]). |
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== How do I forecast as an individual == |
== How do I forecast as an individual == |
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* Questions must [[How to Write Forecasting Questions|decision relevant]] - [explain] [also can I write comments to myself?] |
* Questions must [[How to Write Forecasting Questions|decision relevant]] - [explain] [also can I write comments to myself?] |
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** [[Conditional forecasts]] are very useful but also tricky to get right |
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* If you have effective altruism questions talk to @nathanpmyoung or [blanka] |
* If you have effective altruism questions talk to @nathanpmyoung or [blanka] |
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* If you have general questions, write them <sup>["how to write question on metaculus" page required]</sup> |
* If you have general questions, write them <sup>["how to write question on metaculus" page required]</sup> |
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