Comparison of prediction platforms and prediction markets: Difference between revisions

* Not trivial to switch from scores/points to monetary rewards, as assigning monetary rewards to the top forecasters makes the reward not be [[Proper scoring rule|proper]] anymore. Forecasters e.g. may have an incentive to report beliefs that are more extreme than the ones that they actually hold to get a chance to score high in a tournament with payouts

* Herding problem: people are incentivised to copy the aggregate forecast (e.g. the community median)

 

==References==