Prediction markets

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Revision as of 07:28, 6 February 2022 by Gusl (talk | contribs) (Created page with "Prediction markets buy and sell contracts that pay off (typically $1) if the pre-determined event happens. Under certain conditions, the equilibrium price of a contract can be understood at the consensus probability about the event happening, namely if the no-arbitrage principle applies. PredictIt Polymarket")
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Prediction markets buy and sell contracts that pay off (typically $1) if the pre-determined event happens.

Under certain conditions, the equilibrium price of a contract can be understood at the consensus probability about the event happening, namely if the no-arbitrage principle applies.


PredictIt

Polymarket

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