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• 19:51, 9 May 2022 AABoyles talk contribs created page Calibration (Created page with "{{Banner|WIP}}<!--- Change 'WIP' to 'Help wanted' then 'Review wanted' when you're at those stages, remove when review is passed---> Calibration refers to the propensity of a forecaster's forecasts to occur at the approximate frequency of their prediction. For example, a forecaster who forecasts 10 events at 40% each and 4 of those events ultimately occur exhibits good calibration. If 3 or 5 of these events occur, the forecaster may still be exhibiting reasonable calibr...")