Training for Forecasting

From Forecasting Wiki
The author would be happy about help on this article.

This page rounds up links for training exercises that are believed to improve the component skills of Forecasting (other than just forecasting itself).

Cognitive Bias Reduction[edit]

Calibration Exercises[edit]

(h/t this LessWrong Post)


External Links[edit]


  1. Tetlock, Philip E.., Gardner, Dan. Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction. United States: Crown, 2015.
  2. Tetlock, Philip E.. Expert Political Judgment: How Good Is It? How Can We Know? - New Edition. United Kingdom: Princeton University Press, 2017.
  3. Counterfactual Thought Experiments in World Politics: Logical, Methodological, and Psychological Perspectives. United States: Princeton University Press, 1996.

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