Predicting at Near-Certainty: Difference between revisions
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▲<!-- ====================================== Article Banners ====================================== -->Predictions of absolute certainty and near-certainty exhibit some noteworthy philosophical properties. However, in practice such predictions should rarely if ever result in outcomes worse than badly-injured brier scores for the predictor who makes them, should they be proven incorrect.
== Absolute Predictions in Absolute Reality ==
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== Absolute Predictions in Forecasting Tournaments ==
Practical Forecasting can afford to be a little more forgiving. All forecasts are stored imprecisely in one way or another. If a forecasting platform
== References ==
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