User contributions for JTPeterson
A user with 25 edits. Account created on 13 April 2022.
28 April 2022
- 01:1401:14, 28 April 2022 diff hist 0 Noise No edit summary
- 01:1401:14, 28 April 2022 diff hist −273 Noise No edit summary Tag: Visual edit
26 April 2022
- 17:3417:34, 26 April 2022 diff hist +102 Cognitive Biases Added biases Tag: Visual edit
- 17:3017:30, 26 April 2022 diff hist −74 Noise No edit summary
- 02:3902:39, 26 April 2022 diff hist +10 Cognitive Biases No edit summary
16 April 2022
- 17:2617:26, 16 April 2022 diff hist −1 Noise No edit summary
- 17:2517:25, 16 April 2022 diff hist −1 Cognitive Biases No edit summary Tag: Visual edit
- 17:1917:19, 16 April 2022 diff hist −18 Cognitive Biases No edit summary Tag: Visual edit
- 17:1717:17, 16 April 2022 diff hist +79 Cognitive Biases No edit summary
- 17:0517:05, 16 April 2022 diff hist +72 Cognitive Biases No edit summary Tag: Visual edit
- 16:5916:59, 16 April 2022 diff hist +8 m Cognitive Biases No edit summary Tag: Visual edit
- 16:5916:59, 16 April 2022 diff hist −201 Cognitive Biases No edit summary
- 16:5216:52, 16 April 2022 diff hist +39 Cognitive Biases No edit summary
- 16:5016:50, 16 April 2022 diff hist +2,334 N Noise Created page with "Noise has at least two related but different meanings in the context of forecasting. The first type of noise is related to the issue of signal detection. The second type of noise is variability in judgment and is related to the idea of Cognitive Biases. The two types of noise are closely related. == Noise in signal detection == Making accurate forecasts requires that one is able to find valid evidence indicating what will be the true state of the world at the c..."
- 15:3515:35, 16 April 2022 diff hist +221 N Fallacy Fallacy Created page with "The Fallacy Fallacy is the mistaken belief that because someone committed an error in reasoning, they must therefore be wrong. However, one can still have the correct answer even if their reasoning processes was in error."
- 15:2815:28, 16 April 2022 diff hist +742 Cognitive Biases No edit summary
- 15:0915:09, 16 April 2022 diff hist +49 Cognitive Biases No edit summary
- 15:0115:01, 16 April 2022 diff hist +3 Cognitive Biases No edit summary
- 14:2514:25, 16 April 2022 diff hist +87 Cognitive Biases No edit summary
- 14:2314:23, 16 April 2022 diff hist −17 Cognitive Biases No edit summary Tag: Visual edit: Switched
- 14:2314:23, 16 April 2022 diff hist +32 m Cognitive Biases Clarification Tag: Visual edit
- 14:2014:20, 16 April 2022 diff hist +4 m Cognitive Biases added a word that was forgotten. Tag: Visual edit
- 14:1914:19, 16 April 2022 diff hist +3,480 N Cognitive Biases Created page with "A cognitive bias is a directional departure from a normative model of reasoning (i.e., how one should reason). This is contrasted with the concept of noise, which is a departure from normativity in many directions. The existence of cognitive biases is a central concern for making better forecasts. A cognitive bias is not ''necessarily'' a deviation from the correct answer (though it can be), but a deviation from normativity. For example, Bayes Theorem is a norma..."
13 April 2022
- 23:2223:22, 13 April 2022 diff hist +20 N User:JTPeterson Created page with "Hi, I am JTPeterson." current
- 23:1823:18, 13 April 2022 diff hist +33 Get involved →Contributors Tag: Visual edit: Switched