Training for Forecasting: Difference between revisions
→Readings
(Created page with "{{Banner|WIP}}<!--- Change 'WIP' to 'Help wanted' then 'Review wanted' when you're at those stages, remove when review is passed---> The content of your new article<ref>Reference here</ref> is great. This page rounds up links for training exercises that are believed to improve the component skills of Forecasting (other than just forecasting itself). == Cognitive Bias Reduction == == Calibration Exercises == * OpenPhil's [https://www.openphilanthropy.org/calibration...") |
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{{Banner|WIP}}<!--- Change 'WIP' to 'Help wanted' then 'Review wanted' when you're at those stages, remove when review is passed--->
This page rounds up links for training exercises that are believed to improve the component skills of Forecasting (other than just forecasting itself).
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== Readings ==
* [[Superforeacsting: The Art and Science of Prediction]] <ref>Tetlock, Philip E.., Gardner, Dan. Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction. United States: Crown, 2015.</ref>
* [[Expert Political Judgment: How Good Is It? How Can We Know?]] <ref>Tetlock, Philip E.. Expert Political Judgment: How Good Is It? How Can We Know? - New Edition. United Kingdom: Princeton University Press, 2017.</ref>
* [[Counterfactual Thought Experiments in World Politics: Logical, Methodological, and Psychological Perspectives]] <ref>[[Counterfactual Thought Experiments in World Politics: Logical, Methodological, and Psychological Perspectives]]. United States: Princeton University Press, 1996.</ref>
== External Links ==
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