Calibration: Revision history

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10 June 2022

9 May 2022

  • curprev 19:5719:57, 9 May 2022AABoyles talk contribs 1,440 bytes +4 No edit summary undo
  • curprev 19:5719:57, 9 May 2022AABoyles talk contribs 1,436 bytes +331 No edit summary undo
  • curprev 19:5119:51, 9 May 2022AABoyles talk contribs 1,105 bytes +1,105 Created page with "{{Banner|WIP}}<!--- Change 'WIP' to 'Help wanted' then 'Review wanted' when you're at those stages, remove when review is passed---> Calibration refers to the propensity of a forecaster's forecasts to occur at the approximate frequency of their prediction. For example, a forecaster who forecasts 10 events at 40% each and 4 of those events ultimately occur exhibits good calibration. If 3 or 5 of these events occur, the forecaster may still be exhibiting reasonable calibr..."